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The critique of Milanović is fair, but worth sharpening slightly. His descriptive point isn't wrong (there is a real trade-off between consumption and leisure in certain structural contexts). The problem is what Merz does with it. He takes a conditional historical observation and presents it as a natural law, erasing the two variables that actually determine the outcome, that is, productive structure and the balance of power between capital and labour. Milanović describes a mechanism, but Merz weaponises it. And that weaponisation does something specific that your analysis touches. The "work more" narrative doesn't need to be analytically correct to be politically effective, its function isn't to describe reality but to allocate blame. It converts a structural problem (loss of competitive position in high-value sectors, decades of underinvestment in industrial policy, rentier capture of productivity gains) into a moral failure of workers. Once that framing sticks, the cost of stagnation is borne by those without capital, and the story makes it feel deserved. It's not an economic diagnosis, it's a guilt distribution mechanism.

Your Germany-Spain-Greece comparison makes the structural argument as cleanly as it can be made. The question I keep coming back to is why that argument loses so consistently to the moral one in public debate, and whether the answer to that is also, ultimately, a question of productive structure...

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